RIFLER MOUZ
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$11.00
Advertised RTP
88.91%
EV $9.78 from 33 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.48%
2,450 openings, odds method
Variance
6.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,464 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635427, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $11.00 | 88.91% | 33 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed1 3.5%covert 0.7%#d32ee6 0.0%red 0.1%restricted 5.0%classified 12.0%sunny 0.6%#87c7ff 5.4%industrial 16.1%#4b69ff 11.9%Legendary 2.5%mil spec 2.7%blue 5.6%Rare 6.0%#5e98d9 27.7%best hit —