IGL MOUZ
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$20.00
Advertised RTP
88.92%
EV $17.78 from 34 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.86%
1,157 openings, odds method
Variance
10.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 23
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,166 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635430, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $20.00 | 88.92% | 34 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#ffd700 0.0%restricted 2.5%covert knife 0.8%covert 5.6%legendary 0.2%classified 11.9%pink 0.3%#d32ee6 0.5%#8847ff 0.7%Mil Spec Grade 2.0%violet 2.2%industrial 14.3%#4b69ff 9.9%mil spec 9.4%milspec 8.6%#87c7ff 16.4%Uncommon 14.8%best hit $1,906 (95.31x)