Yellow Stickers
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$2.00
Advertised RTP
88.96%
EV $1.78 from 44 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.85%
35.9K openings, odds method
Variance
33.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 36
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36.1K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635475, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.00 | 88.96% | 44 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedhigh 0.0%exotic 1.2%#d32ce6 6.4%#8847ff 11.2%#4b69ff 55.3%Legendary 0.9%violet 1.6%#eb4b4b 2.6%pink 2.2%Rare 4.6%#D2D2D2 13.9%best hit $885 (442.6x)