Green Stickers
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.93%
EV $3.56 from 48 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.81%
15.7K openings, odds method
Variance
12.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 27
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values48 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15.8K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635476, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.93% | 48 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedremarkable 2.5%#d32ce6 5.5%exotic 0.0%#8847ff 20.2%Legendary 0.7%#d2d2d2 0.1%#4b69ff 58.1%Remarkable 4.2%High Grade 0.7%pink 8.0%best hit $499 (124.8x)