Blue Stickers
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$9.00
Advertised RTP
88.88%
EV $8.00 from 53 items
Observed RTP, 30d
104.37%
9,392 openings, odds method
Variance
15.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 30
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
73.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Outside band, 30 days. Advertised 88.88% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (96.41% – 112.33%, 9,392 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,438 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635477, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.88%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.00 | 88.88% | 53 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedhigh 1.1%High Grade 0.2%remarkable 5.4%#d32ce6 5.9%#8847ff 3.2%#4b69ff 64.8%Legendary 5.4%exotic 2.2%violet 0.6%blue 5.0%#eb4b4b 0.3%pink 1.0%Mythical 2.1%Rare 2.7%best hit $1,803 (200.4x)