Purple Stickers
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$1.80
Advertised RTP
89.00%
EV $1.60 from 53 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.28%
37.1K openings, odds method
Variance
11.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37.3K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635478, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.80 | 89.00% | 53 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedremarkable 1.9%#d32ce6 15.9%#8847ff 26.5%pink 0.0%Remarkable 0.0%Legendary 0.0%exotic 0.1%Ancient 0.2%extraordinary 0.7%high 0.7%#D2D2D2 5.8%#4b69ff 43.4%Rare 2.1%common 2.7%best hit $306 (170.1x)