Fungal Scholar
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$5.00
Advertised RTP
88.96%
EV $4.45 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
84.32%
5,505 openings, odds method
Variance
12.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,524 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635569, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.00 | 88.96% | 31 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedgold 0.2%Ancient 0.6%covert 0.1%#d32ee6 0.1%classified 1.4%Mythical 3.4%extraordinary 0.5%uncommon 0.9%Industrial Grade 1.0%industrial 12.1%Mil Spec Grade 1.7%#87c7ff 1.7%mil spec 2.0%#8847ff 3.2%#4b69ff 17.5%violet 3.3%Uncommon 2.6%blue 8.8%#5e98d9 38.9%best hit $251 (50.16x)