Kinzzami

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$6.25
Advertised RTP
88.83%
EV $5.55 from 45 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.02%
13.6K openings, odds method
Variance
8.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 18
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
88.72%±12.961,843 openings
7 days
89.94%±5.2411.3K openings
30 days
90.02%±4.7813.6K openings
since tracking started
90.02%±4.7813.6K openings
75.0%88.8%102.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,84388.72%±13.0−0.0σodds
7d11.3K89.94%±5.24+0.4σodds
30d13.6K90.02%±4.78+0.5σodds
All13.6K90.02%±4.78+0.5σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 14,286$1,3471.7%11.0—
AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New)weapon · Ancient1 in 2,564$2261.6%45.30.75×
M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 2,128$1891.6%36.40.47×
M4A1-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 1,695$1491.6%48.00.50×
AK-47 | The Empress (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 1,333$1181.6%910.20.88×
AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 1,266$1131.6%1510.81.40×
AK-47 | The Empress (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,266$1121.6%1010.80.93×
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New)weapon · red1 in 1,099$97.051.6%1712.41.37×
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Field-Tested)weapon · Ancient1 in 735$65.101.6%1418.50.76×
AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested)weapon · rare1 in 208$56.174.9%5065.50.76×
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 199$53.824.9%7868.31.14×
★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 192$51.934.9%6770.80.95×
USP-S | Printstream (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 160$43.294.9%9884.91.15×
USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 154$41.594.9%8088.30.91×
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 154$41.554.9%7088.50.79×
AK-47 | Inheritance (Field-Tested)weapon · red1 in 140$37.844.9%10897.21.11×
AK-47 | Inheritance (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 121$32.604.9%126112.71.12×
SG 553 | Colony IV (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 66$17.914.9%190205.20.93×
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 50$13.524.9%275271.81.01×
M4A4 | Polysoup (Minimal Wear)weapon · uncommon1 in 34$12.576.6%329396.30.83×
M4A4 | Polysoup (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 26$9.576.6%491520.40.94×
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink1 in 26$9.556.6%523521.51.00×
SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 25$9.276.6%545537.31.01×
P250 | Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear)weapon · violet1 in 22$8.096.6%673615.71.09×
FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 452$5.500.2%18330.16.08×
MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 305$3.700.2%4544.61.01×
P250 | Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 274$3.330.2%4249.70.85×
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 272$3.300.2%5650.11.12×
Dual Berettas | Balance (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 237$2.880.2%5457.40.94×
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 187$2.270.2%7172.80.98×
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical1 in 166$2.010.2%7782.20.94×
Dual Berettas | Balance (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 133$1.620.2%101102.10.99×
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 128$1.550.2%100106.60.94×
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 91$1.100.2%153150.21.02×
Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Battle-Scarred)weapon · violet1 in 74$0.900.2%180183.60.98×
MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 72$0.870.2%194190.01.02×
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 64$0.780.2%212211.91.00×
MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic (Field-Tested)weapon · milspec1 in 36$0.440.2%331375.60.88×
Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 57$0.400.1%208238.20.87×
MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic (Well-Worn)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 50$0.350.1%318272.21.17×
MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec1 in 37$0.260.1%402366.41.10×
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$0.180.1%563529.31.06×
Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear)weapon · #5e98d91 in 11$0.080.1%1,2091190.81.02×
Tec-9 | Raw Ceramic (Factory New)weapon · #b0c3d917.5%$0.040.1%2,1562381.60.91×
Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Field-Tested)weapon · #5e98d922.8%$0.030.1%3,1743096.31.03×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/1635580, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.83%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
5 Nov, 11:42 UTC$6.2588.83%45
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$6.2588.82%45
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 1.5%Ancient 0.3%red 1.7%rare 0.5%extraordinary 1.0%classified 6.3%Mythical 8.8%uncommon 2.9%pink 3.8%violet 8.0%#4b69ff 8.7%restricted 0.9%mil spec 1.2%milspec 5.5%#5e98d9 31.5%#b0c3d9 17.5%best hit $1,347 (215.5x)