Price
$6.25
Advertised RTP
88.83%
EV $5.55 from 45 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.02%
13.6K openings, odds method
Variance
8.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 18
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.6K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635580, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.83%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 11:42 UTC | $6.25 | 88.83% | 45 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $6.25 | 88.82% | 45 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.5%Ancient 0.3%red 1.7%rare 0.5%extraordinary 1.0%classified 6.3%Mythical 8.8%uncommon 2.9%pink 3.8%violet 8.0%#4b69ff 8.7%restricted 0.9%mil spec 1.2%milspec 5.5%#5e98d9 31.5%#b0c3d9 17.5%best hit $1,347 (215.5x)