Golden Woods
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$3.00
Advertised RTP
88.77%
EV $2.66 from 32 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.80%
6,364 openings, odds method
Variance
13.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 24
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,390 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635582, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.77%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $3.00 | 88.77% | 32 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.2%#d32ee6 0.0%pink 1.8%Ancient 0.0%sunny 0.1%red 0.1%exceptional 0.2%classified 3.3%violet 4.2%industrial 1.1%blue 0.8%#4b69ff 8.0%mil spec 16.2%restricted 5.9%milspec 3.1%#5e98d9 36.6%blueLight 18.3%best hit $275 (91.56x)