Soul Catcher
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.96%
EV $3.56 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.01%
12.9K openings, odds method
Variance
8.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.9K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635602, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.96% | 31 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.1%restricted 5.2%Ancient 0.1%red 0.1%classified 3.1%Extraordinary 0.2%violet 0.4%extraordinary 0.5%#87c7ff 1.0%blue 9.7%#d32ee6 1.7%uncommon 1.8%#4b69ff 18.4%pink 2.1%#8847ff 2.3%mil spec 3.9%Mil Spec Grade 8.6%milspec 18.2%industrial 22.8%best hit $385 (96.21x)