Hades
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
89.01%
EV $8.90 from 46 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.90%
3,166 openings, odds method
Variance
16.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 26
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,169 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/1635608, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.01%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 89.01% | 46 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.5%extraordinary 0.1%red 1.1%pink 0.3%rare 0.3%covert knife 0.4%Ancient 0.8%classified 5.9%restricted 7.0%mil spec 3.3%industrial 11.8%#8847ff 7.2%milspec 13.1%exceptional 0.3%Industrial Grade 0.4%violet 5.2%Mythical 3.3%#4b69ff 3.9%#5e98d9 33.9%best hit $1,334 (133.4x)