Famas
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$3.75
Advertised RTP
88.93%
EV $3.33 from 41 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.27%
10.5K openings, odds method
Variance
3.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10.5K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/17, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $3.75 | 88.93% | 41 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $3.75 | 88.85% | 41 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedLegendary 0.1%blue 0.2%restricted 8.9%classified 4.2%pink 1.1%Mythical 1.5%#777777 4.2%#d32ee6 0.7%consumer 24.6%#8847ff 3.7%#87c7ff 1.0%violet 1.0%#4b69ff 16.4%mil spec 24.5%industrial 7.9%best hit —