Bobby
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$3.00
Advertised RTP
88.80%
EV $2.66 from 42 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.47%
27.9K openings, odds method
Variance
8.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/212, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.80%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $3.00 | 88.80% | 42 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $3.00 | 88.82% | 42 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.2%mil spec 1.2%classified 6.4%#d32ee6 0.3%restricted 9.6%#4b69ff 0.6%Mythical 0.2%#d32ce6 0.3%Legendary 1.1%#8847ff 3.3%Mil Spec Grade 0.5%pink 0.6%Restricted 2.7%industrial 2.9%violet 3.2%#777777 67.0%best hit $623 (207.7x)