Classified
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$4.80
Advertised RTP
89.08%
EV $4.28 from 41 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.37%
12.7K openings, odds method
Variance
3.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
21.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values41 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.8K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/23, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.08%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $4.80 | 89.08% | 41 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $4.80 | 89.11% | 41 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 62.9%pink 0.4%#d32ee6 10.9%Legendary 25.9%best hit $298 (62.16x)