Svert
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$14.00
Advertised RTP
88.96%
EV $12.45 from 52 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.14%
2,127 openings, odds method
Variance
5.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 16
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values52 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,129 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/234, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.96%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $14.00 | 88.96% | 52 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $14.00 | 89.05% | 52 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#8847ff 8.7%restricted 9.2%classified 9.6%extraordinary 0.4%covert 4.9%mil spec 12.2%Mythical 4.9%#4b69ff 24.7%red 1.0%#d32ce6 0.7%pink 1.8%Rare 15.1%uncommon 7.1%best hit $523 (37.33x)