Five-seven
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$1.80
Advertised RTP
88.91%
EV $1.60 from 48 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.21%
53.5K openings, odds method
Variance
16.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 21
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values48 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 53.6K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/319, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.91%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov, 18:07 UTC | $1.80 | 88.91% | 48 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.80 | 88.87% | 48 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 9.7%covert 0.0%classified 1.2%mil spec 6.9%industrial 0.8%Legendary 0.1%#d32ee6 0.1%Uncommon 1.1%#8847ff 3.9%#4b69ff 54.8%Mil Spec Grade 2.4%violet 5.4%Rare 13.6%best hit $577 (320.3x)