MAG-7

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price

$1.50

Advertised RTP

88.95%

EV $1.33 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d

87.61%

56.7K openings, odds method

Variance

18.9×

of price², per opening

Tail share

12.9%

of openings carry half the EV

Below price

71.3%

of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

83.88%±9.657,774 openings

7 days

87.61%±3.6647.4K openings

30 days

87.61%±3.2156.7K openings

since tracking started

87.61%±3.2156.7K openings

73.5%83.7%94.0%

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	7,774	83.88%±9.65	−1.0σ	odds
7d	47.4K	87.61%±3.66	−0.7σ	odds
30d	56.7K	87.61%±3.21	−0.8σ	odds
All	56.7K	87.61%±3.21	−0.8σ	odds

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 56.8K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

Item	Odds	Value	EV share	Observed	Expected	Hot / cold
MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6	1 in 33,333	$966	2.2%	1	1.7	0.59×
MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 11,111	$282	1.9%	3	5.1	0.59×
MAG-7 \| Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 3,571	$88.89	1.9%	14	15.9	0.88×
MAG-7 \| Hazard (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec	1 in 1,471	$36.94	1.9%	26	38.6	0.67×
MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 1,351	$33.95	1.9%	25	42.0	0.59×
MAG-7 \| Chainmail (Factory New)weapon · industrial	1 in 602	$15.14	1.9%	89	94.3	0.94×
MAG-7 \| Silver (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial	1 in 478	$13.70	2.1%	78	118.7	0.66×
MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 437	$12.51	2.1%	109	130.1	0.84×
MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 407	$11.65	2.1%	123	139.8	0.88×
MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New)weapon · #87c7ff	1 in 403	$11.55	2.1%	108	140.9	0.77×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec	1 in 357	$10.22	2.1%	119	159.1	0.75×
MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Factory New)weapon · Mil Spec Grade	1 in 319	$9.15	2.1%	196	177.8	1.10×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 303	$8.68	2.1%	181	187.5	0.97×
MAG-7 \| Justice (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified	1 in 256	$7.33	2.1%	227	222.1	1.02×
MAG-7 \| Justice (Field-Tested)weapon · classified	1 in 215	$6.15	2.1%	292	264.7	1.10×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted	1 in 214	$6.13	2.2%	274	265.9	1.03×
MAG-7 \| BI83 Spectrum (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 197	$5.64	2.1%	286	288.6	0.99×
MAG-7 \| Justice (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified	1 in 192	$5.51	2.1%	320	295.4	1.08×
MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Factory New)weapon · restricted	1 in 166	$4.75	2.1%	319	342.6	0.93×
MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec	1 in 147	$4.22	2.1%	415	385.7	1.08×
MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New)weapon · Mythical	1 in 120	$3.45	2.1%	517	472.1	1.10×
MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New)weapon · Restricted	1 in 37	$2.96	5.9%	1,216	1516.3	0.80×
MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted	1 in 28	$2.24	5.9%	1,842	2003.7	0.92×
MAG-7 \| Heat (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical	1 in 27	$2.12	5.9%	1,807	2116.8	0.85×
MAG-7 \| BI83 Spectrum (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 25	$1.99	5.9%	2,058	2255.4	0.91×
MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 25	$1.98	5.9%	2,013	2266.8	0.89×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff	1 in 24	$1.90	5.9%	2,154	2362.2	0.91×
MAG-7 \| Heat (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 98	$1.47	1.1%	1,013	579.5	1.75×
MAG-7 \| Petroglyph (Minimal Wear)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 93	$1.40	1.1%	1,059	608.4	1.74×
MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 83	$1.24	1.1%	949	687.4	1.38×
MAG-7 \| Popdog (Factory New)weapon · Rare	1 in 60	$0.90	1.1%	927	947.0	0.98×
StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 53	$0.79	1.1%	1,203	1078.8	1.12×
MAG-7 \| Firestarter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 51	$0.77	1.1%	1,213	1106.7	1.10×
MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Factory New)weapon · mil spec	1 in 39	$0.58	1.1%	1,501	1469.1	1.02×
MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted	1 in 33	$0.50	1.1%	1,871	1704.3	1.10×
MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical	1 in 31	$0.47	1.1%	1,891	1812.8	1.04×
MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff	1 in 29	$0.44	1.1%	2,345	1936.7	1.21×
MAG-7 \| Heaven Guard (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec	1 in 20	$0.42	1.6%	2,744	2840.6	0.97×
MAG-7 \| Popdog (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec	1 in 19	$0.40	1.6%	3,125	2982.6	1.05×
MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff	1 in 19	$0.39	1.6%	3,038	3059.3	0.99×
MAG-7 \| Cobalt Core (Well-Worn)weapon · milspec	1 in 19	$0.39	1.6%	3,087	3059.3	1.01×
MAG-7 \| Foresight (Factory New)weapon · blue	1 in 12	$0.25	1.6%	4,463	4772.1	0.94×
MAG-7 \| Foresight (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff	20.9%	$0.10	1.6%	11,570	11856.5	0.98×

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/336, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee6$1.50$966644.2x5d

MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)weapon · restricted$1.50$282187.9x2d

MAG-7 | Bulldozer (Factory New)weapon · restricted@txkarka.skins.army$1.50$282187.9x3d

MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff$1.50$13187.66x6d

MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff$1.50$88.8959.26x14h

MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ffKabanos:)$1.50$88.8959.26x17h

MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ffTwój stary na teściu$1.50$88.8959.26x1d

MAG-7 | Counter Terrace (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff$1.50$88.8959.26x1d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$1.50$0.500.33x26s

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New)weapon · restricted$1.50$5.643.76x26s

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ffARMANE skins.army$1.50$1.901.27x26s

MAG-7 | Monster Call (Factory New)weapon · Restricted$1.50$2.961.97x30s

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$1.50$0.770.51x30s

MAG-7 | Popdog (Factory New)weapon · Rare$1.50$0.900.60x30s

MAG-7 | Monster Call (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ffbilly$1.50$0.390.26x30s

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff$1.50$1.901.27x1m

MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythicalbilly$1.50$0.470.31x1m

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.95%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items
5 Nov, 18:07 UTC	$1.50	88.95%	43
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC	$1.50	88.83%	43

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed#d32ee6 0.0%restricted 13.2%#4b69ff 26.2%mil spec 15.8%industrial 0.4%#8847ff 16.6%#87c7ff 0.2%Mil Spec Grade 0.3%classified 1.4%Mythical 7.7%Restricted 2.7%Rare 1.7%milspec 5.4%blue 8.4%best hit $966 (644.2x)