GLOCK-18
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$2.00
Advertised RTP
88.83%
EV $1.78 from 31 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.46%
84.2K openings, odds method
Variance
8.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 84.4K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/34, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.83%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $2.00 | 88.83% | 31 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $2.00 | 88.79% | 31 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 9.0%classified 2.2%mil spec 17.8%pink 0.7%Mythical 7.3%#d32ee6 3.2%#8847ff 11.9%#4b69ff 19.6%Rare 5.6%industrial 22.8%best hit $1,964 (981.8x)