Price
$14.00
Advertised RTP
88.90%
EV $12.45 from 15 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.36%
5,192 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
25.4%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,203 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/36, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.90%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $14.00 | 88.90% | 15 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 1.0%#ffd700 2.3%classified 69.2%restricted 7.4%#87c7ff 20.1%best hit —