MyZone

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$3.00
Advertised RTP
89.13%
EV $2.67 from 43 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.46%
9,380 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
89.77%±9.511,277 openings
7 days
91.24%±3.788,080 openings
30 days
91.46%±3.519,380 openings
since tracking started
91.46%±3.519,380 openings
79.5%89.8%100.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1,27789.77%±9.51+0.1σodds
7d8,08091.24%±3.78+1.1σodds
30d9,38091.46%±3.51+1.3σodds
All9,38091.46%±3.51+1.3σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,394 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
USP-S | Orange Anolis (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 3,333$96.711.1%12.80.35×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 3,030$86.901.1%53.11.61×
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)knife · Covert1 in 2,222$63.811.1%24.20.47×
★ Gut Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 2,083$59.541.1%44.50.89×
AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 2,083$59.311.1%84.51.77×
AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 1,333$37.881.1%87.01.14×
AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 1,266$36.101.1%77.40.94×
SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 1,190$34.011.1%97.91.14×
★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 1,163$33.081.1%58.10.62×
USP-S | Orange Anolis (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 442$29.562.5%2521.21.18×
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 398$26.612.5%1923.60.81×
M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 388$25.882.5%2424.20.99×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 333$22.322.5%3328.21.17×
FAMAS | Styx (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 305$20.392.5%3830.81.23×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 226$15.092.5%3141.60.74×
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 217$14.502.5%4843.31.11×
FAMAS | Styx (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 159$10.672.5%5758.90.97×
Five-SeveN | Hot Shot (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial1 in 149$9.982.5%6862.91.08×
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 141$9.422.5%6466.70.96×
StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec1 in 115$7.662.5%9082.01.10×
CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 112$7.492.5%6683.90.79×
AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested)weapon · #d32ee61 in 108$7.222.5%9787.01.12×
MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 94$6.312.5%10699.61.06×
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 93$6.242.5%113100.71.12×
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 91$6.082.5%95103.30.92×
AUG | Torque (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 41$5.715.2%258227.21.14×
AWP | Phobos (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 33$4.535.2%266286.40.93×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary1 in 32$4.415.2%300294.21.02×
AK-47 | Rat Rod (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 31$4.275.2%320303.91.05×
Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 28$3.925.2%348331.01.05×
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 28$3.825.2%372339.71.10×
StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 26$3.625.2%388358.51.08×
Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted1 in 63$2.171.3%169149.11.13×
Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Field-Tested)weapon · #8847ff1 in 62$2.151.3%169150.41.12×
Desert Eagle | Naga (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 58$2.001.3%152161.70.94×
AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred)weapon · mil spec1 in 53$1.821.3%161177.70.91×
AK-47 | Elite Build (Well-Worn)weapon · blue1 in 52$1.791.3%189180.61.05×
FAMAS | Teardown (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 26$0.891.3%330363.40.91×
Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Minimal Wear)weapon · #7777771 in 23$0.791.3%404409.40.99×
AUG | Tom Cat (Minimal Wear)weapon · milspec1 in 11$0.391.3%814831.00.98×
FAMAS | Teardown (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec11.5%$0.301.3%1,1061080.31.02×
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #4b69ff12.3%$0.281.3%1,1301157.40.98×
Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff16.9%$0.211.3%1,4951584.40.94×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/363, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.13%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$3.0089.13%43
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedrestricted 7.9%classified 3.6%Covert 0.0%covert 0.2%red 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%Mythical 3.9%violet 0.6%industrial 0.7%mil spec 14.3%#8847ff 11.8%#d32ee6 4.5%Legendary 4.2%blue 1.9%#4b69ff 33.1%#777777 4.4%milspec 8.8%best hit —