Price
$3.00
Advertised RTP
89.13%
EV $2.67 from 43 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.46%
9,380 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,394 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/363, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.13%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $3.00 | 89.13% | 43 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 7.9%classified 3.6%Covert 0.0%covert 0.2%red 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%Mythical 3.9%violet 0.6%industrial 0.7%mil spec 14.3%#8847ff 11.8%#d32ee6 4.5%Legendary 4.2%blue 1.9%#4b69ff 33.1%#777777 4.4%milspec 8.8%best hit —