Windmill
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$61.70
Advertised RTP
86.87%
EV $53.60 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.64%
331 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 331 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/387, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.87%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $61.70 | 86.87% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 15.0%extraordinary 2.5%restricted 15.0%classified 40.0%#8847ff 2.5%blue 5.0%Rare 2.5%#d32ee6 5.0%pink 2.5%Mythical 2.5%mil spec 2.5%#4b69ff 5.0%best hit —