Price
$3.00
Advertised RTP
88.85%
EV $2.67 from 32 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.44%
22.4K openings, odds method
Variance
16.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 20
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.0%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 22.4K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/391, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.85%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 13:17 UTC | $3.00 | 88.85% | 32 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $3.00 | 88.97% | 32 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 2.6%#4b69ff 0.0%classified 10.1%mil spec 0.3%#d32ee6 1.3%violet 4.0%Restricted 0.3%Legendary 3.1%pink 4.7%#d32ce6 4.7%consumer 69.0%best hit $755 (251.7x)