Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.95%
EV $3.56 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.75%
7,237 openings, odds method
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,242 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/398, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.95%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $4.00 | 88.95% | 23 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.98% | 23 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed2 4.0%#ffd700 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%gold 0.1%classified 9.6%covert 0.2%restricted 1.6%mil spec 0.4%Restricted 0.7%pink 4.5%violet 1.3%#8847ff 5.0%Mythical 6.7%#777777 65.7%best hit —