Assorted

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.95%
EV $3.56 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
85.75%
7,237 openings, odds method
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 15
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
76.31%±15.71825 openings
7 days
86.66%±5.826,052 openings
30 days
85.75%±5.327,237 openings
since tracking started
85.75%±5.327,237 openings
60.0%76.5%93.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h82576.31%±15.7−1.6σodds
7d6,05286.66%±5.82−0.8σodds
30d7,23785.75%±5.32−1.2σodds
All7,23785.75%±5.32−1.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,242 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd7001 in 1,064$1283.4%16.80.15×
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 813$97.803.4%98.91.01×
★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Battle-Scarred)gloves · gold1 in 787$94.923.4%89.20.87×
Galil AR | Eco (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 654$78.463.4%711.10.63×
★ Falchion Knife | Night (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 629$75.553.4%911.50.78×
FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 274$36.283.7%1726.40.64×
MAG-7 | Prism Terrace (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 245$32.463.7%3229.51.08×
USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 238$31.493.7%3430.51.12×
XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Field-Tested)weapon · Restricted1 in 142$18.843.7%3850.90.75×
Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 134$17.733.7%4854.10.89×
AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 124$16.453.7%5158.30.87×
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified1 in 119$15.773.7%7360.81.20×
AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 113$14.933.7%6364.20.98×
Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 108$14.313.7%7667.11.13×
P250 | Muertos (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 106$14.103.7%6668.10.97×
Five-SeveN | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)weapon · restricted1 in 85$11.263.7%7985.20.93×
P250 | Vino Primo (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 77$10.203.7%4694.10.49×
M4A1-S | Nightmare (Well-Worn)weapon · pink1 in 27$7.187.5%262270.30.97×
USP-S | Para Green (Field-Tested)weapon · 21 in 25$6.707.5%241289.70.83×
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 21$5.757.5%308337.50.91×
CZ75-Auto | Syndicate (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff1 in 20$5.347.5%284363.50.78×
AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 15$4.027.5%436482.80.90×
UMP-45 | Urban DDPAT (Field-Tested)weapon · #77777765.7%$0.040.7%5,0544761.31.06×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/398, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.95%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 05:19 UTC$4.0088.95%23
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$4.0088.98%23
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed2 4.0%#ffd700 0.1%extraordinary 0.1%gold 0.1%classified 9.6%covert 0.2%restricted 1.6%mil spec 0.4%Restricted 0.7%pink 4.5%violet 1.3%#8847ff 5.0%Mythical 6.7%#777777 65.7%best hit —