Krycholewa
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.79%
EV $3.55 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
93.21%
7,118 openings, odds method
Variance
5.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 12
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,121 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/432, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.79%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.79% | 35 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.3%classified 9.8%#ffd700 0.1%#4b69ff 11.2%violet 2.6%#d32ce6 1.0%industrial 1.0%Rare 1.0%restricted 7.8%Legendary 4.4%consumer 41.1%Uncommon 3.2%mil spec 9.0%Restricted 2.9%milspec 4.6%best hit $270 (67.56x)