Price
$3.80
Advertised RTP
88.81%
EV $3.37 from 43 items
Observed RTP, 30d
87.67%
14.4K openings, odds method
Variance
3.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
60.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.4K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/466, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.81%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $3.80 | 88.81% | 43 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedmil spec 6.0%Legendary 4.3%covert 0.4%classified 4.4%violet 1.9%blue 0.5%#d32ee6 4.2%pink 1.3%#8847ff 10.7%Mil Spec 3.5%restricted 11.5%milspec 0.2%Mythical 0.5%Rare 1.6%industrial 1.7%#4b69ff 13.3%Uncommon 11.6%consumer 22.4%best hit —