Stickerter
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$1.00
Advertised RTP
89.00%
EV $0.89 from 20 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.38%
65.8K openings, odds method
Variance
6.6×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
75.3%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 66.2K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/611365, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $1.00 | 89.00% | 20 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.00 | 89.05% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed#eb4b4b 0.4%#d32ce6 11.0%violet 1.5%#8847ff 5.0%#4B69FF 3.7%Legendary 5.6%#4b69ff 41.7%High Grade 5.8%high 25.3%best hit $91.15 (91.15x)