Dodge
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$5.00
Advertised RTP
88.95%
EV $4.45 from 18 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.63%
15.1K openings, odds method
Variance
4.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.1%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15.1K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/611390, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.95%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $5.00 | 88.95% | 18 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.00 | 88.89% | 18 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedhigh 3.5%Exotic 0.0%#d32ce6 0.2%#8847ff 16.5%#4b69ff 61.2%remarkable 8.1%Remarkable 4.5%Legendary 5.9%best hit $327 (65.41x)