Ensure
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
88.93%
EV $8.89 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.94%
3,848 openings, odds method
Variance
2.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
15.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,850 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/611392, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.93%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $10.00 | 88.93% | 30 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 88.93% | 30 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedexotic 14.9%#eb4b4b 1.4%pink 21.3%red 0.3%#8847ff 17.9%#d32ce6 8.7%#4b69ff 4.9%remarkable 7.6%#d2d2d2 2.7%violet 6.9%Legendary 13.3%best hit —