Master
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$50.00
Advertised RTP
88.83%
EV $44.41 from 24 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.18%
1,641 openings, odds method
Variance
2.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
61.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values24 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,641 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/611398, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.83%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $50.00 | 88.83% | 24 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $50.00 | 88.74% | 24 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedhigh 0.1%#eb4b4b 19.4%#d32ce6 59.3%remarkable 1.0%#8847ff 3.2%extraordinary 7.7%#4b69ff 9.2%best hit $1,853 (37.05x)