Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
89.00%
EV $8.90 from 27 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.25%
6,082 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,096 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/630111, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.00%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 89.00% | 27 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedImmortal 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%epic 0.1%covert 1.7%classified 13.0%mil spec 2.0%pink 5.9%#d32ee6 2.9%#8847ff 19.7%uncommon 4.0%violet 1.5%industrial 1.7%blue 2.7%restricted 23.5%Rare 21.4%best hit —