Bandura

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$10.00
Advertised RTP
89.00%
EV $8.90 from 27 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.25%
6,082 openings, odds method
Variance
2.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.8%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.5%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
87.14%±9.82826 openings
7 days
88.21%±4.024,925 openings
30 days
88.25%±3.626,082 openings
since tracking started
88.25%±3.626,082 openings
76.5%87.0%97.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h82687.14%±9.82−0.4σodds
7d4,92588.21%±4.02−0.4σodds
30d6,08288.25%±3.62−0.4σodds
All6,08288.25%±3.62−0.4σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,096 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear)knife · Immortal1 in 2,083$2121.1%42.91.37×
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 2,083$2121.1%32.91.03×
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Field-Tested)gloves · epic1 in 1,961$2011.1%43.11.29×
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 1,220$1241.1%65.01.20×
★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert1 in 1,075$1091.1%65.71.06×
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 147$63.224.8%4841.61.15×
P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 125$54.014.8%4548.60.93×
★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 119$51.234.8%3651.30.70×
AK-47 | Black Laminate (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 115$49.604.8%3453.00.64×
AK-47 | Black Laminate (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec1 in 91$39.154.8%7267.21.07×
USP-S | Caiman (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 76$32.864.8%7780.00.96×
M4A1-S | Control Panel (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 66$28.474.8%9792.41.05×
Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 57$24.494.8%107107.41.00×
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 39$19.585.6%176155.71.13×
MAC-10 | Toybox (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 34$17.235.6%190176.91.07×
StatTrak™ P2000 | Woodsman (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff1 in 34$16.995.6%152179.40.85×
StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hydro Strike (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · uncommon1 in 25$12.575.6%241242.50.99×
AWP | Duality (Factory New)weapon · pink1 in 23$11.485.6%257265.50.97×
Nova | Antique (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 22$10.885.6%301280.21.07×
M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · violet1 in 67$8.401.4%8691.40.94×
AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Battle-Scarred)weapon · industrial1 in 60$7.601.4%109101.11.08×
AUG | Momentum (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 50$6.301.4%126121.91.03×
M4A1-S | Briefing (Field-Tested)weapon · blue1 in 37$4.681.4%156164.10.95×
AK-47 | Slate (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted1 in 30$3.761.4%196204.30.96×
AWP | PAW (Well-Worn)weapon · #8847ff16.7%$2.594.9%1,0181019.91.00×
Desert Eagle | Naga (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted20.2%$2.154.9%1,2081228.60.98×
AK-47 | Elite Build (Field-Tested)weapon · Rare21.4%$2.085.0%1,3411303.41.03×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/630111, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.00%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$10.0089.00%27
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedImmortal 0.0%extraordinary 0.0%epic 0.1%covert 1.7%classified 13.0%mil spec 2.0%pink 5.9%#d32ee6 2.9%#8847ff 19.7%uncommon 4.0%violet 1.5%industrial 1.7%blue 2.7%restricted 23.5%Rare 21.4%best hit —