Dzinold v2
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.87%
EV $3.55 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.46%
64.9K openings, odds method
Variance
4.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 65K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/639479, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.87%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $4.00 | 88.87% | 36 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.82% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.5%gold 0.0%Classified 0.8%classified 5.9%#d32ee6 8.0%mil spec 25.8%Legendary 9.8%restricted 5.2%Mythical 1.1%#87c7ff 1.3%#8847ff 1.6%Uncommon 40.0%best hit $254 (63.61x)