Tuszol
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$18.70
Advertised RTP
88.82%
EV $16.61 from 40 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.70%
3,148 openings, odds method
Variance
2.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
71.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values40 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,161 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/644530, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.82%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $18.70 | 88.82% | 40 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 5.4%sunny 0.0%Ancient 0.1%extraordinary 0.3%classified 24.9%Covert 0.7%restricted 1.7%red 2.0%Classified 2.1%Restricted 2.4%Mythical 4.8%violet 6.3%pink 7.2%mil spec 8.8%blue 33.5%best hit $562 (30.06x)