Rush B
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$35.00
Advertised RTP
85.15%
EV $29.80 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.75%
1,174 openings, odds method
Variance
1.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
16.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,174 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/647204, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 85.15%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $35.00 | 85.15% | 35 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 41.9%mil spec 17.5%extraordinary 0.5%classified 16.8%covert 1.2%#4b69ff 2.8%#8847ff 2.1%Ancient 3.3%violet 13.8%best hit $1,720 (49.13x)