Maze
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$80.00
Advertised RTP
88.85%
EV $71.08 from 35 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.56%
1,316 openings, odds method
Variance
4.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 13
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
63.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,318 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/761243, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.85%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $80.00 | 88.85% | 35 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $80.00 | 88.97% | 35 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedhigh 0.1%covert 12.3%sunny 0.3%legendary 0.3%gold 0.3%restricted 44.9%classified 6.8%red 8.1%pink 7.0%covert knife 3.6%mil spec 3.0%#ffd700 3.8%#eb4b4b 1.3%violet 4.0%blue 4.2%best hit $1,884 (23.55x)