Olympus
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$1,000.00
Advertised RTP
86.61%
EV $866.09 from 34 items
Observed RTP, 30d
108.00%
98 openings, odds method
Variance
3.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
69.7%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 98 openings and 8.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 98 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/761256, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 86.61%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1,000 | 86.61% | 34 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 35.3%legendary 0.2%contraband 0.5%extraordinary 8.5%epic 3.2%high 2.5%covert knife 2.9%classified 8.1%gold 0.7%mil spec 6.9%#8847ff 5.3%red 6.2%Legendary 19.7%best hit $18.2K (18.24x)