Jurassic
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$15.00
Advertised RTP
88.84%
EV $13.33 from 36 items
Observed RTP, 30d
73.78%
1,990 openings, odds method
Variance
13.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 28
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
74.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,994 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/761300, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.84%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov, 05:19 UTC | $15.00 | 88.84% | 36 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $15.00 | 88.81% | 36 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.3%rare 0.1%classified 6.3%pink 8.2%red 0.2%covert knife 0.9%#ffd700 0.5%Covert 0.5%extraordinary 0.6%Mythical 0.8%superior 0.8%industrial 62.7%#d32ee6 4.7%restricted 6.4%Rare 4.0%best hit $790 (52.65x)