Into the Jungle
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$105.00
Advertised RTP
88.74%
EV $93.18 from 23 items
Observed RTP, 30d
92.70%
285 openings, odds method
Variance
1.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
19.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
76.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 285 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/776393, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.74%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $105 | 88.74% | 23 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedlegendary 0.1%extraordinary 5.0%sunny 0.1%covert 43.4%rare 0.4%restricted 0.5%Extraordinary 1.2%gold 13.4%Legendary 2.8%industrial 33.2%best hit $1,435 (13.67x)