Desert Hydra
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$170.00
Advertised RTP
88.75%
EV $150.88 from 25 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.01%
237 openings, odds method
Variance
1.8×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.7%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
77.5%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 237 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/815252, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.75%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $170 | 88.75% | 25 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 34.9%extraordinary 10.5%classified 20.3%gold 1.2%epic 1.4%mil spec 1.7%Covert 2.0%#ffd700 2.5%restricted 12.6%Ancient 13.0%best hit $2,719 (16.00x)