Pyka97
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$6.50
Advertised RTP
88.92%
EV $5.78 from 32 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.28%
13K openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
13.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.2%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.1K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/850608, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.92%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $6.50 | 88.92% | 32 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedepic 0.0%covert 1.2%classified 19.3%Mythical 1.6%uncommon 5.8%#8847ff 5.9%mil spec 8.4%Legendary 1.8%restricted 14.0%#4b69ff 10.3%blue 7.3%industrial 24.3%best hit —