Navcia
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$12.00
Advertised RTP
88.97%
EV $10.68 from 32 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.24%
3,762 openings, odds method
Variance
3.0×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,768 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/850644, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.97%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $12.00 | 88.97% | 32 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 3.1%extraordinary 1.9%Ancient 0.1%classified 25.7%restricted 8.1%red 0.6%sunny 0.9%#d32ee6 2.9%pink 1.1%Legendary 3.0%mil spec 6.6%#8847ff 19.2%#4b69ff 26.9%best hit —