Golden Offensive

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$25.00
Advertised RTP
88.81%
EV $22.20 from 30 items
Observed RTP, 30d
—
no counted openings
Variance
1.3×
of price², per opening
Tail share
18.0%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
62.7%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

No counted openings yetOpenings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d0———
30d0———
All0———
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Flip Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · covert1 in 2,222$3770.8%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,786$3040.8%00.0—
★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd7001 in 1,389$2370.8%00.0—
★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,190$2040.8%00.0—
★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary1 in 758$1300.8%00.0—
AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 758$1300.8%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert1 in 735$1260.8%00.0—
★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 120$1184.4%00.0—
★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary1 in 115$1134.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Asiimov (Minimal Wear)weapon · Ancient1 in 80$78.854.4%00.0—
USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial1 in 72$71.394.4%00.0—
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 65$63.914.4%00.0—
USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 63$61.834.4%00.0—
AWP | Wildfire (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 62$61.154.4%00.0—
USP-S | Ancient Visions (Factory New)weapon · Restricted1 in 42$59.406.4%00.0—
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 36$51.446.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 32$45.956.4%00.0—
AWP | Man-o'-war (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 27$38.446.4%00.0—
M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · red1 in 22$30.976.4%00.0—
AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 22$30.876.4%00.0—
Desert Eagle | Printstream (Battle-Scarred)weapon · red1 in 21$30.416.4%00.0—
Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 64$29.212.1%00.0—
AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn)weapon · covert1 in 53$24.282.1%00.0—
AK-47 | Redline (Well-Worn)weapon · classified1 in 42$19.102.1%00.0—
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 31$14.162.1%00.0—
SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred)weapon · classified1 in 20$9.012.1%00.0—
MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear)weapon · red1 in 16$7.082.1%00.0—
Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary13.8%$3.312.1%00.0—
MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested)weapon · Legendary15.0%$3.042.1%00.0—
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn)weapon · pink15.0%$3.032.0%00.0—
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/862816, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

No history yet

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$25.0088.81%30
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 20.7%#ffd700 0.1%extraordinary 1.0%Ancient 1.3%industrial 1.4%classified 9.0%Restricted 2.4%red 15.8%restricted 4.6%Legendary 28.7%pink 15.0%