Galil AR
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$3.30
Advertised RTP
88.82%
EV $2.93 from 57 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.65%
14.6K openings, odds method
Variance
6.9×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values57 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.7K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/88, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.82%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $3.30 | 88.82% | 57 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedrestricted 10.4%covert 0.0%classified 2.1%#4b69ff 8.8%mil spec 12.3%#eb4b4b 0.0%#d32ee6 3.4%Legendary 10.3%pink 4.6%#8847ff 11.0%Mythical 7.0%Rare 4.4%violet 7.1%milspec 2.0%#87c7ff 16.4%best hit $822 (249.2x)