Grendy
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$4.00
Advertised RTP
88.82%
EV $3.55 from 37 items
Observed RTP, 30d
86.27%
8,419 openings, odds method
Variance
3.7×
of price², per opening
Tail share
10.2%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
66.6%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,438 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/880852, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.82%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.82% | 37 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.3%gold 0.1%classified 10.8%extraordinary 0.5%#d32ce6 1.1%#d32ee6 5.3%violet 1.8%Legendary 2.7%Classified 3.2%#8847ff 10.2%restricted 8.6%mil spec 9.9%blue 3.6%Mythical 2.9%#4b69ff 39.2%best hit —