Denis
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$25.00
Advertised RTP
88.86%
EV $22.22 from 33 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.60%
1,135 openings, odds method
Variance
3.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
12.3%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
64.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,135 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/883200, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.86%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $25.00 | 88.86% | 33 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 11.8%gold 0.1%red 5.1%classified 11.8%extraordinary 1.8%#ffd700 1.1%Legendary 0.9%restricted 10.3%pink 1.9%#d32ee6 3.6%violet 5.4%Mythical 13.3%mil spec 17.7%#4b69ff 15.3%best hit —