P90
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$4.10
Advertised RTP
88.74%
EV $3.64 from 56 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.91%
8,019 openings, odds method
Variance
5.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
67.9%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values56 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,044 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/89, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.74%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $4.10 | 88.74% | 56 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedclassified 14.9%restricted 6.5%#eb4b4b 0.0%covert 0.1%#d32ee6 3.4%Legendary 4.4%pink 0.2%Classified 0.2%mil spec 7.9%violet 0.6%Mythical 0.6%#8847ff 9.2%#4b69ff 44.6%Mil Spec 2.5%Rare 4.8%best hit $380 (92.63x)