Tiger Speed

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$25.00
Advertised RTP
88.86%
EV $22.21 from 64 items
Observed RTP, 30d
88.14%
2,942 openings, odds method
Variance
4.1×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 11
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
72.4%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
87.62%±20.61368 openings
7 days
90.13%±9.031,919 openings
30 days
88.14%±7.292,942 openings
since tracking started
88.14%±7.292,942 openings
66.5%87.8%109.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h36887.62%±20.6−0.1σodds
7d1,91990.13%±9.03+0.3σodds
30d2,94288.14%±7.29−0.2σodds
All2,94288.14%±7.29−0.2σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values64 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,957 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 50,000$1,4440.1%00.1—
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50,000$1,3350.1%00.1—
★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 50,000$1,1440.1%00.1—
★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 50,000$1,0120.1%00.1—
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 33,333$8000.1%10.1—
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 33,333$7400.1%00.1—
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 33,333$7310.1%00.1—
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested)weapon · covert1 in 719$5623.5%44.10.97×
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 25,000$5470.1%00.1—
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 25,000$5170.1%00.1—
FAMAS | Spitfire (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 658$5113.5%34.50.67×
AK-47 | Jaguar (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 645$5023.5%64.61.31×
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 20,000$4030.1%10.1—
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 16,667$3360.1%00.2—
★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 14,286$3280.1%00.2—
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 14,286$3170.1%00.2—
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert1 in 402$3143.5%67.40.81×
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New)weapon · covert1 in 385$3003.5%107.71.30×
★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 11,111$2450.1%00.3—
★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 10,000$2190.1%10.3—
★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 9,091$2050.1%10.3—
AWP | Silk Tiger (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #d32ee61 in 769$1981.2%13.80.26×
AWP | Silk Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 769$1981.2%33.80.78×
★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 9,091$1920.1%00.3—
★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 8,333$1860.1%00.4—
AK-47 | Panthera onca (Field-Tested)weapon · pink1 in 694$1791.2%34.30.70×
★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 625$1601.2%24.70.42×
★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 606$1561.2%64.91.23×
★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 602$1551.2%44.90.81×
M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 588$1521.2%35.00.60×
AK-47 | Panthera onca (Well-Worn)weapon · #d32ee61 in 549$1411.2%55.40.93×
AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert1 in 541$1391.2%35.50.55×
★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 538$1381.2%55.50.91×
★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 526$1351.2%35.60.53×
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 426$1091.2%76.91.01×
★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 408$1051.2%27.20.28×
★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 402$1031.2%97.41.22×
Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 366$94.311.2%108.11.24×
AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 357$91.781.2%68.30.72×
FAMAS | Spitfire (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 314$80.701.2%99.40.96×
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New)weapon · classified1 in 311$79.881.2%129.51.26×
★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 304$78.051.2%179.71.75×
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 298$76.481.2%109.91.01×
P250 | Bengal Tiger (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 30$53.058.1%107100.01.07×
Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · classified1 in 29$51.698.1%121102.61.18×
AUG | Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified1 in 28$51.058.1%110103.91.06×
Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear)weapon · Classified1 in 18$32.588.1%146162.80.90×
M4A1-S | Basilisk (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 16$28.468.1%185186.40.99×
Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts (Factory New)weapon · Mythical1 in 97$21.861.0%3130.41.02×
P250 | Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 73$16.431.0%3840.50.94×
M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New)weapon · mil spec1 in 69$15.551.0%4042.80.93×
M4A1-S | Basilisk (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 50$11.331.0%6158.71.04×
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 46$10.401.0%7164.01.11×
AWP | PAW (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 38$8.441.0%6578.80.82×
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Factory New)weapon · restricted1 in 36$8.051.0%8382.61.00×
P250 | Wingshot (Factory New)weapon · violet1 in 34$7.691.0%8286.50.95×
M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec1 in 25$5.611.0%117118.60.99×
SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Factory New)weapon · #8847ff1 in 23$5.171.0%128128.70.99×
Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Factory New)weapon · #4b69ff1 in 17$3.891.0%169171.00.99×
AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 17$3.831.0%177173.71.02×
AWP | PAW (Minimal Wear)weapon · Mythical1 in 13$3.691.2%231220.41.05×
P250 | Wingshot (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 11$3.091.2%274263.21.04×
CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted1 in 11$2.901.2%268280.40.96×
SG 553 | Tiger Moth (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted10.1%$2.721.2%300299.61.00×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/90, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.86%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:40 UTC$25.0088.86%64
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedcovert 3.5%epic 0.0%restricted 50.8%#d32ee6 0.3%classified 8.0%pink 0.1%#4b69ff 10.5%Classified 5.5%Mythical 8.5%mil spec 5.5%violet 2.9%#8847ff 4.4%best hit $800 (32.00x)