Jungle Fang

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

Price
$150.00
Advertised RTP
89.16%
EV $133.74 from 27 items
Observed RTP, 30d
83.96%
188 openings, odds method
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
34.5%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
79.9%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
11 openings · below min
7 days
80.90%±10.51153 openings
30 days
83.96%±9.48188 openings
since tracking started
83.96%±9.48188 openings
34.5%74.3%114.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1174.36%±39.2—odds
7d15380.90%±10.5−1.5σodds
30d18883.96%±9.48−1.1σodds
All18883.96%±9.48−1.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 188 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · #ffd7001 in 1,515$1,4430.7%10.1—
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife1 in 1,429$1,3600.7%00.1—
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 1,299$1,2450.7%00.1—
★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 1,235$1,1800.7%10.2—
★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 781$7480.7%00.2—
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 271$6491.8%00.7—
★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 216$5171.8%00.9—
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 181$4341.8%01.00.00×
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 163$3911.8%01.20.00×
★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 137$3271.8%01.40.00×
★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 128$3051.8%01.50.00×
★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 126$3011.8%01.50.00×
★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 61$2633.2%73.12.29×
★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert1 in 57$2463.2%33.30.92×
★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 54$2303.2%33.50.86×
★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · epic1 in 45$1943.2%54.21.20×
★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 43$1833.2%44.40.91×
★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 36$1543.2%25.20.38×
★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 36$1533.2%45.30.76×
★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 14$1447.7%1013.40.75×
★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert1 in 14$1407.7%1313.80.94×
★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 13$1347.7%714.40.49×
★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert1 in 10$1037.7%1618.70.85×
★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert10.0%$1027.7%1718.90.90×
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert10.0%$1027.7%1818.90.95×
★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert13.7%$74.867.7%4125.71.59×
★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert14.1%$74.107.8%3626.51.36×
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from g4skins:feed/cases/952576, 13 Nov, 02:21 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.16%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
2 Nov, 21:50 UTC$15089.16%27
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed#ffd700 0.1%covert knife 0.1%covert 97.2%epic 2.7%best hit $1,443 (9.62x)