Stop
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$5.00
Advertised RTP
89.01%
EV $4.45 from 34 items
Observed RTP, 30d
89.81%
15.1K openings, odds method
Variance
3.5×
of price², per opening
Tail share
11.1%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
68.8%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15.2K openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/956658, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 89.01%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.00 | 89.01% | 34 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedcovert 0.8%classified 9.2%red 0.4%pink 0.8%#d32ee6 9.0%restricted 8.6%#d32ce6 4.3%Legendary 5.0%#4b69ff 21.0%#8847ff 6.7%Mythical 1.7%mil spec 15.2%Rare 17.2%best hit —