Neon Time
A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.
Price
$8.60
Advertised RTP
88.82%
EV $7.64 from 46 items
Observed RTP, 30d
90.19%
8,957 openings, odds method
Variance
5.2×
of price², per opening
Tail share
1 in 14
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
70.4%
of openings return less than the price
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and values46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,974 openings, 30 days
Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from
g4skins:feed/cases/99, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 88.82%
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Nov, 19:45 UTC | $8.60 | 88.82% | 46 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $8.60 | 88.86% | 46 |
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listed3 1.1%covert 2.2%restricted 10.3%#eb4b4b 0.1%red 0.2%classified 10.3%#d32ee6 7.0%#8847ff 11.8%Mythical 4.5%industrial 0.6%pink 1.8%Legendary 0.7%mil spec 1.4%Rare 3.5%#4b69ff 34.9%blue 9.4%best hit —