Agents

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

Price
$33.00
Advertised RTP
91.99%
EV $30.36 from 55 items
Observed RTP, 30d
91.68%
299 openings, odds method
Variance
0.4×
of price², per opening
Tail share
26.6%
of openings carry half the EV
Below price
65.3%
of openings return less than the price

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandadvertisedoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
59 openings · below min
7 days
91.78%±6.99294 openings
30 days
91.68%±6.93299 openings
since tracking started
91.68%±6.93299 openings
74.5%90.3%106.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5990.30%±15.2—odds
7d29491.78%±6.99−0.0σodds
30d29991.68%±6.93−0.1σodds
All29991.68%±6.93−0.1σodds
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and values55 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 299 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.
ItemOddsValueEV shareObservedExpectedHot / cold
Sir Bloody Miami Darryl | The Professionalsagent · master1 in 24$81.0310.9%812.20.65×
D Squadron Officer | NZSASagent · distinguished1 in 21$74.1211.7%1714.41.18×
Primeiro Tenente | Brazilian 1st Battalionagent · distinguished1 in 23$70.0110.2%1313.20.98×
Cmdr. Frank 'Wet Sox' Baroud | SEAL Frogmanagent · red1 in 23$43.866.3%913.00.69×
Cmdr. Davida 'Goggles' Fernandez | SEAL Frogmanagent · red1 in 25$42.095.6%1312.01.08×
Vypa Sista of the Revolution | Guerrilla Warfareagent · red1 in 20$40.476.5%1214.60.82×
Bloody Darryl The Strapped | The Professionalsagent · superior1 in 18$33.806.1%1716.31.04×
Trapper | Guerrilla Warfareagent · exceptional1 in 37$33.763.0%118.01.37×
Elite Trapper Solman | Guerrilla Warfareagent · pink1 in 23$28.044.1%813.20.61×
Trapper Aggressor | Guerrilla Warfareagent · distinguished1 in 24$27.503.8%1312.71.02×
Little Kev | The Professionalsagent · exceptional1 in 33$26.832.7%129.21.31×
'Medium Rare' Crasswater | Guerrilla Warfareagent · Master1 in 31$25.562.7%159.51.58×
Col. Mangos Dabisi | Guerrilla Warfareagent · violet1 in 36$25.522.3%108.31.21×
Jungle Rebel | Elite Crewagent · distinguished1 in 34$21.882.1%98.81.03×
Chem-Haz Capitaine | Gendarmerie Nationaleagent · pink1 in 31$20.452.2%99.80.92×
Special Agent Ava | FBIagent · master1 in 27$19.662.4%1211.21.08×
Chef d'Escadron Rouchard | Gendarmerie Nationaleagent · master1 in 26$19.032.4%1211.51.04×
Crasswater The Forgotten | Guerrilla Warfareagent · master1 in 46$18.781.3%106.51.54×
Safecracker Voltzmann | The Professionalsagent · pink1 in 42$17.751.4%27.10.28×
Officer Jacques Beltram | Gendarmerie Nationaleagent · violet1 in 49$17.121.2%86.11.31×
Lt. Commander Ricksaw | NSWC SEALagent · red1 in 45$15.151.1%106.71.50×
Cmdr. Mae 'Dead Cold' Jamison | SWATagent · red1 in 39$14.881.2%157.61.97×
Sergeant Bombson | SWATagent · violet1 in 40$14.321.2%77.50.93×
Arno The Overgrown | Guerrilla Warfareagent · superior1 in 37$13.751.2%58.10.62×
Street Soldier | Phoenixagent · distinguished1 in 57$13.230.8%55.30.95×
Lieutenant 'Tree Hugger' Farlow | SWATagent · exceptional1 in 51$13.160.8%15.90.17×
'Blueberries' Buckshot | NSWC SEALagent · violet1 in 483$12.340.1%80.6—
3rd Commando Company | KSKagent · blue1 in 53$12.280.8%05.70.00×
Seal Team 6 Soldier | NSWC SEALagent · distinguished1 in 89$11.620.4%33.40.89×
'The Doctor' Romanov | Sabreagent · red1 in 74$10.880.5%14.00.25×
Bio-Haz Specialist | SWATagent · blue1 in 133$10.860.3%32.21.33×
Operator | FBI SWATagent · blue1 in 88$10.840.4%33.40.88×
Ground Rebel | Elite Crewagent · blue1 in 52$10.680.7%35.70.52×
Chem-Haz Specialist | SWATagent · blue1 in 121$10.330.3%22.50.81×
The Elite Mr. Muhlik | Elite Crewagent · master1 in 266$10.180.1%31.12.67×
John 'Van Healen' Kask | SWATagent · violet1 in 119$10.070.3%12.50.40×
Sous-Lieutenant Medic | Gendarmerie Nationaleagent · exceptional1 in 243$9.930.1%11.20.81×
Aspirant | Gendarmerie Nationaleagent · blue1 in 375$9.380.1%50.8—
Osiris | Elite Crewagent · exceptional1 in 272$9.190.1%11.10.91×
1st Lieutenant Farlow | SWATagent · pink1 in 212$8.630.1%11.40.71×
B Squadron Officer | SASagent · #4b69ff1 in 7,143$8.350.0%00.0—
Markus Delrow | FBI HRTagent · violet1 in 6,667$8.270.0%00.0—
'Two Times' McCoy | TACP Cavalryagent · superior1 in 219$7.650.1%01.40.00×
Dragomir | Sabre Footsoldieragent · blue1 in 833$7.580.0%00.4—
Slingshot | Phoenixagent · violet1 in 121$7.270.2%02.50.00×
'Two Times' McCoy | USAF TACPagent · superior1 in 7,692$7.120.0%00.0—
Rezan the Redshirt | Sabreagent · superior1 in 10,000$6.980.0%00.0—
Prof. Shahmat | Elite Crewagent · pink1 in 8,333$6.890.0%00.0—
Blackwolf | Sabreagent · pink1 in 5,000$6.710.0%00.1—
Buckshot | NSWC SEALagent · violet1 in 5,882$6.690.0%00.1—
Rezan The Ready | Sabreagent · superior1 in 6,667$6.520.0%00.0—
Dragomir | Sabreagent · violet1 in 9,091$5.750.0%00.0—
Maximus | Sabreagent · violet1 in 5,000$5.540.0%10.1—
Enforcer | Phoenixagent · blue1 in 6,250$5.120.0%00.0—
Soldier | Phoenixagent · blue1 in 10,000$4.670.0%00.0—
Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from ggdrop:api/case/agents, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, dailyAdvertised 91.99%

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
11 Nov, 08:38 UTC$33.0091.99%55
11 Nov, 02:34 UTC$33.0092.00%55
10 Nov, 20:30 UTC$33.0092.00%55
10 Nov, 14:27 UTC$33.0091.91%55
10 Nov, 08:23 UTC$33.0091.93%55
10 Nov, 02:19 UTC$33.0091.95%55
9 Nov, 20:15 UTC$33.0091.93%55
9 Nov, 14:12 UTC$33.0091.90%55
9 Nov, 08:08 UTC$33.0091.98%55
9 Nov, 01:55 UTC$33.0091.97%55
8 Nov, 23:36 UTC$33.0091.92%55
8 Nov, 17:32 UTC$33.0091.97%55
8 Nov, 11:28 UTC$33.0091.93%55
8 Nov, 05:24 UTC$33.0091.95%55
7 Nov, 23:21 UTC$33.0092.00%55
7 Nov, 17:17 UTC$33.0091.91%55
7 Nov, 11:13 UTC$33.0091.90%55
7 Nov, 05:09 UTC$33.0091.94%55
6 Nov, 23:05 UTC$33.0091.91%55
6 Nov, 17:01 UTC$33.0091.91%55
6 Nov, 10:58 UTC$33.0091.93%55
6 Nov, 04:54 UTC$33.0092.00%55
5 Nov, 22:50 UTC$33.0091.90%55
5 Nov, 16:46 UTC$33.0091.95%55
5 Nov, 10:42 UTC$33.0091.91%55
5 Nov, 04:39 UTC$33.0091.94%55
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC$33.0091.91%55
4 Nov, 16:31 UTC$33.0091.96%55
4 Nov, 14:14 UTC$33.0092.00%55
4 Nov, 07:06 UTC$33.0091.92%55
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedmaster 14.2%distinguished 19.3%red 19.4%superior 8.7%exceptional 8.5%pink 10.6%Master 3.2%violet 9.3%blue 6.9%#4b69ff 0.0%best hit —